Dear All,
Actually, at least in UK, there seems to be an increase in awareness / operational activities.
I did a little searching from kaz's previous useful attachment. Initially, my impression was that the issue was now dormant (I noticed the frequent instructions to proceed as per "Government Advice" in the action plan which is often the kiss of d***h IMEX. Additionally the link lead to a website with the disturbing "not in use" type statement but, to my surprise, the suggested new link led to a seemingly busy website where I saw this (Sept 10) -
Following a review of NHS critical care capacity and plans to increase this capacity if necessary during a pandemic, a critical care strategy has been published today. The document sets out how the NHS will double ventilated critical care capacity during the peak of a potential second wave of the swine flu virus. It outlines a series of whole system measures that can be put in place, including measures to minimise demand for critical care.
To support the NHS with this work, a new Critical Care Clinical Group made up of a number of independent experts in delivering critical care has been formed. The group will be chaired by Dr Judith Hulf, President of the Royal College of Anaesthetists and will provide a dedicated, expert resource for the NHS for the duration of the swine flu pandemic.
http://www.dh.gov.uk...neflu/DH_104989I guess this in line with the forthcoming "cold season" in UK.
The latest general policy document (pdf dwl) is here -
http://www.dh.gov.uk...dance/DH_104977 and contains an impressive 120 codicils with this opening paragraph (inc. xref) -
The NHS is one of the best-prepared health systems in the world for an influenza pandemic. This document describes the approach to managing critical care in a H1N1 flu pandemic
The document did seem a bit low on specifics though. Was also somewhat mystified by this footnote -
The NPFS (National Pandemic Flu Service) is currently not operational in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, but it can be switched on if needed.
The latest bulletin did note that currently cases decreasing but I didn't notice any useful graphical data (maybe there somewhere). Would hv been interested to see a comparison to frequency rates for cases of "normal" flu but maybe the data is non-existent.
(added - there is some interesting graphical data and global comments here -
http://www.hpa.org.u...p=1231252394302 which seems to imply that "overall" flu-type reported data for UK at this time is not unusual, but doesn't appear to differentiate any varieties (I guess this is not so easy)
@sirilucky, I suspect some of the items in yr quoted letter (containing no cross-references at all!) are highly debatable (to put it politely), eg -
Swine flu, that is H1N1 flu is not new, first detected in 1987
True, but not true, ie this is a new strain -
http://en.wikipedia....Swine_influenzaIf you remember, 2 years ago SARS was blown out of proportion, what happened? Humans develop immunity to the virus, the same is going to happen, we develop immunity in due course of time, the virus is in the air, you can not stop it, our body is already developing the immunity so nothing to panic.
I am sure that several countries would take considerable exception to those opinions.
http://en.wikipedia....ratory_syndromeThe mortality is less than .01 percent of those affected, that means may be one in 10,000 affected is likely to suffer the life loss.
Maybe 10x more. The mortality rate is believed comparable to "seasonal" flu (~0.1%) but with different vulnerabilities
http://abcnews.go.co...tory?id=8590433 (Sept 16)
(I'm curious myself regarding current statistics for Mexico where initial data suggested much higher losses)
@Simon,
Well if we lose 10% we will be 10% slower
Not if the 10% are all engineers
Rgds / Charles.C